Bitcoin Price Predictions February Part 1

Greythorn Asset Management
2 min readFeb 8, 2023

BTC and ETH TL;DR

  • Bitcoin & Ethereum are up 2.47% and 2.77%, respectively, over the past fortnight.
  • Greythorn views that Bitcoin will range between $20,000 and $24,000 over the upcoming week based on our option flow model.

Greythorn Option Flow Model

Figure 1: Greythorn Option Flow Model 080223. Source: Proprietary — Greythorn Research Team. Data: Laevitas.

After the growing momentum over January, Bitcoin has drifted sideways with a slight pullback over the past fortnight. Opening at ~$23,000, the market is back at the same level it was at two weeks ago.

Looking at gamma supply, we can expect increased volatility at $21,000, $22,000 & $25,000.

If price decreases, $22,000 & $20,000 are the only weak supports. In contrast, the upside resistances are much more significant. $23,500 is the first resistance, while $24,000 is even more substantial. The entire interval between $25,000 and $30,000 is currently positioned as an area of ample liquidity provision.

While option supply remains positive, it has decreased from the previous fortnight. Considering German CPI is to be released on Thursday, along with UK GDP data on Friday & the upcoming EU Leaders Summit, uncertainty from Europe can potentially influence crypto markets during the second half of this week.

Greythorn believes that Bitcoin will range between $20,000 and $24,000 over the upcoming week based on our option flow model.

For an introduction to Greythorn Option Flow Model, please refer to our newsletter from 8th June 2022. https://greythorn.substack.com/p/greythorn-asset-management-newsletter

Disclaimer

The information contained within this newsletter is purely our opinion and should not be considered by readers to constitute any form of financial or investment advice. We encourage readers to conduct their own research into any financial product that they are interested in and Greythorn will not incur any liability for potential losses.

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Greythorn Asset Management

Melbourne-based asset management firm, focused primarily on Tech | Web3 | Crypto | Blockchain | DYOR/NFA. Subscribe to hear our latest industry insights.